President Reagan is probably best known for three major accomplishments: rekindling the American spirit of entrepreneurship, defeating the Soviets in the Cold War leading to the eventual collapse of the USSR, and creating the most robust peacetime economic expansion in American history. In this posting, we’ll focus on topics more applicable to Reagan’s economic accomplishments. Reagan’s economic philosophy has been referred to by many names including Reaganomics and Supply Side Economics.
Arguably Reagan was dealing with a much more complex economic environment in 1980 than we have today. Reagan was faced with high unemployment, high inflation, high interest rates, a slow-growing economy and a high government deficit as a percentage of GDP. Today we primarily have high unemployment, a slow-growing economy and a high government deficit. However over the last two years the policies implemented by the Obama administration have not significantly reduced unemployment, have dramatically increased the government debt and have started to increase both inflation and interest rates. Note that inflation and interest rates were not a problem when Obama entered office.
During Reagan’s 8 years in office, the United States had the largest peacetime economic expansion in history along with creating approximately 35 million new jobs. President Reagan helped the U.S. achieve this economic boom through implementing sweeping economic reforms that contrary to the Keynesian economic policies of the liberals in Congress at the time (and Obama today). Reagan stated, “Government’s view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it.” His solution to our economic malaise would be to correct those three governmental behaviors. Reagan’s approach would include implementing across-the-board tax cuts, simplified government regulations, and sound monetary policies.
Reagan’s trademark tax policy was based upon the Laffer Curve. This concept made popular by Professor Laffer explained why high tax policies never maximize revenue to the federal government. Liberal tax policies assume in order to raise revenue all the government needs to do is to increase tax rates. Of course they assume that individuals wouldn’t adjust their behavior in response to the tax increase. This failed assumption ultimately causes their tax increase to fail to create more revenue for the government and acts as an anchor around the waist of the economy. The concept of the Laffer Curve acknowledges that individuals will alter their behavior in response to tax policy. Laffer identifies an ideal marginal tax rate that maximizes revenue and economic growth. As the rate goes higher, the economy doesn’t grow as fast and individuals choose not to work harder because too much of their additional income is taken in taxes. As the tax rate goes materially lower, the marginal revenue to the government is decreased because the additional stimulus to the economy of the tax cut is less than the percentage decrease in taxes.
Reagan found that equilibrium of the Laffer Curve existed at about the 28% marginal tax rate. Thus as part of the turnaround, President Reagan would reduce the maximum marginal tax rate for individuals and corporations to 28%. Reagan would also simplify the tax code again by eliminating many of the tax loopholes and exemptions. At the same time, he would help the lower-income families by increasing the personal exemption, the standard deduction, and the earned income tax credit (EITC). Although the liberals always whine every time taxes our cut, these approaches when previously implemented by Reagan doubled federal tax revenues from $517 billion in 1980 to more than $1 trillion in 1990.
In the area of deregulation, Reagan would primarily unwind many of the regulations created by Congress since he left office. Reagan believed in keeping federal regulations simple and enforceable. Reagan also believed in shifting most regulations to the States. This new Federalism would have the Federal government impact policies through block grants of funds to the states which allowed each state to decide how to implement their own programs. This approach would be a more effective way to address healthcare (including Medicare and Medicaid), illegal immigration, and environmental health and safety issues. During Reagan’s two terms his administration cut the Federal Register of regulations to almost half the size it was when he was inaugurated. Since the Federal Register has swollen beyond the size that it was when Reagan entered office in 1980, clearly his objective would be to reduce the complexity in those regulations by at least half. With simplified regulations, the government could more effectively actually enforce these policies and avoid disasters like the Dodd/Frank Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac meltdown in 2008.
In the area of monetary policy, Reagan would also make major changes which would require replacing the current Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Reagan would support the reduction of the current authority of the Federal Reserve including implementing an annual audit of the FED. We would see a return to the taxpayers of the unused TARP funds and a stop of the Quantitative Easing programs by the FED. In addition, Reagan would encourage the FED to slow the growth of the money supply to head off the tsunami of inflation that is building under Obama’s policies. Of course some of these monetary moves will cause a short-term economic adjustment and downturn while the economy settles to a normal pricing equilibrium free of the manipulation by the federal government. However the increase in the stability of the U.S. Dollar and heading off of major inflation problems will lead to a huge influx of investment and capital into the United States which will more than offset the short-term economic adjustment.
Although Reagan had his detractors at the time and we would have them again today, President Reagan’s policies created growth that lasted for 92 months without a recession. During this period of unprecedented growth, Reagan dramatically decreased unemployment, reduced interest rates and reduced inflation. The foundation of all of Reagan’s economic policies was his belief in the power of the individual. It is the individual, not the government, who creates all jobs, all growth, and all value in our economy. As Reagan said, “There are no constraints on the human mind, no walls around the human spirit, no barriers to our progress except those we ourselves erect.” Wouldn’t it be great to again have a President who has more faith in us than he has in the government bureaucracy?
Selling Lies – The Formula the Left Uses To Take Away Your Rights
As part of their dogma, the Left believes society only operates “fairly” when more power is concentrated in the Federal Government and fewer rights are exercised independently by individuals. In their view, one of the major purposes of the Government is to equalize outcomes across society (try to find that in the Constitution). Note that it’s the equality of outcomes, not equality of opportunities, that is their definition of fairness. To achieve that goal, Liberals need an excuse to take rights and responsibilities from individuals and shift that power to the Government. Then that Governmental power can be used to institutionalize fairness by passing laws and regulations that provide for the equality of outcomes across society. However in spite of these plans, the Left has a major cultural roadblock in their way. One of our traditional American values is to treasure and defend our individual rights. When Americans are thinking rationally, we rarely, if ever, voluntarily give up any of our rights.
When the Liberals want to influence American opinion on an issue, they need to overcome that obstacle. To do so, they use a consistent formula to warp the public perception in their favor. Their approach does not involve an in-depth analysis of the facts with the subsequent generation of possible alternatives to be evaluated. Frankly facts get in their way. Their strategy is simply based on manipulating the public’s emotions. Liberals want to generate guilty feelings or stir up hate or trigger rage. Their tactic is to generate strong emotions in the public and with those emotions shut down rational thought. Create a crisis. Create an injustice. Pretend there is no time to think about, discuss, or even read the bill. We have to act now! Sound familiar?
The Left knows that if they can get people to act on emotion, they can convince the public to accept changes that they would never rationally support. This approach is how the Left incrementally pushes forward their “causes” which slowly erode individual rights and responsibilities. As individual rights are eroded, the Left shifts that authority and power to Government bureaucrats and agencies. Obamacare is a real life example of how the Left forced Government run healthcare down our throats in spite of the fact that a majority of the voters wanted nothing to do with it.
The Liberal’s formula for manipulating public opinion comes straight from Sal Alinsky and his Rules for Radicals. The three-step process is:
1) Create a Victim (even if one doesn’t exist)
2) Identify the Villain (even if they aren’t responsible)
3) Position Government as the Solution (to increase centralized power)
The first step is to create a Victim. It is easy for the Left to create victims. A victim is anyone who doesn’t want to take responsibility for their own actions or inactions. Individuals who aren’t willing to be proactive to improve their position in life are quite willing to accept the message that it’s someone else’s fault that they don’t have as much money, as nice of a house, an education, an insurance plan or the job that another person has. Envy is the emotion the Left uses to manipulate individuals into believing that they are victims. After all, if Tom has something you don’t, that isn’t “fair”. Then the individual jumps to the conclusion, “if it isn’t fair, I am being taken advantage of and someone needs to correct the injustice.” For the Left, the victim is a necessary pawn in their chess game. The victim the Left created for Obamacare was anyone who didn’t have medical insurance. The Liberals conveniently ignored the fact that included in their “class of victims” were people who:
– could afford health insurance or directly pay for healthcare but chose not to purchase it
– were in the U.S. illegally and thus shouldn’t even be in the country causing additional stress on our healthcare system
– could receive care, under existing laws, from hospitals, clinics and healthcare facilities across the U.S. without insurance if they had critical or life threatening condition
The next step is to identify the Villain. Again, it is easy for the Left to identify a villain in any situation. For their purposes, a villain is anyone who has something that another person does not. Their villain doesn’t need to be responsible for the victim’s plight. Their villain simply needs to have something that the victim does not have. In Obamacare, the villains were pharmaceutical companies and rich people. “Rich” people are the default villains for the Left so class envy is one of their favorite strategies. However the Left’s definition of “rich” depends upon who they are talking to at the moment. Rich is anyone who makes more than their current audience. That’s why in Obamacare the evil rich people were sometimes individuals who made over $1 million but at other times were people making $200,000 or $250,000. In the end, Obamacare involves taking fees and taxes from most working Americans. So it appears for their purposes, they thought we all were rich.
The Left’s final step is to position the Government as the ultimate solution for the problem. Since they have pitted one group in society (the victims) against another group in society (the villains), the Liberals feel like they now have generated sufficient emotion (guilt, hate or rage) to make their move. Pitting one group against the other is part of the distraction they create so that in the chaos we won’t pay attention to what they are doing in the background. As the solution to the conflict, they position the Government as the only party with the power to defend the victim from the villain. After all, the Government can correct the injustice and make things more “fair”.
Enforcing fairness fits the Left’s ultimate goal of adding more and more power to the Government and taking more and more rights and responsibilities from individuals. It is often said that “if all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.” For Liberals, “if all you want is a Government program, anybody can be made into either a victim or villain.” The Left knows that once power is granted to a Government program, that program rarely goes away. Thus slowly and incrementally they shift rights from we the people to the Government bureaucracy. The growth in the Government bureaucracy causes the need for more and more of our tax dollars to feed the beast. This need to extract more and more tax dollars from the public is the ultimate manifestation of the other major objective of the Left: the redistribution of wealth.
So the next time the Government is attempting to take more and more of your paycheck, realize you’ve already lost something more precious than money. The money they take from you today is to pay for the Government control over your rights that they took away from you yesterday. Now who’s the victim?